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Ray
Thanks for the reply. Much clearer.

drrayeye Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Steve,
>
> A scientist is allowed (even required) to "guess"
> and make assumptions (even outrageous assumptions)
> as long as it leads to experiment. If the "guess"
> is not supported by evidence, one either rejects
> the guess, or refines the study and tries again.
>
> The scientist always knows that his "guess" is
> wrong--and that it will be amended or replaced by
> a better "guess" in the future. Meanwhile, the
> prevailing statistically significant findings
> remain "king of the hill."

As a "casual reader" it would seem you have spent very little time investigating the basis for the AoM
"statistically significant findings".

I assure you, if you have professional association with such endeavours, it will be well worth your time investigating (even just the youtube disclosure posted ) Absolute belly laugh in it for you!
>
> Those high numbers come from statistical "counting
> rules" that calculate the number of different
> combinations of events are possible with a given
> sample.

Thanks I knew that. It seems no one can get the base formula for it? Martin has ignored the question here and elsewhere.

***

>
> As to which animal, it's clearly the cow--if you
> believe the story about Mrs. O'leary and the
> Chicago fire.
>
> Ray

Interesting! I wonder why yu didn't think of which month Zodiac sign the place was settled in 1830 or which month it was officially declared a town in 1833.?
Of course, you likely guess or know I know virtually nothing about Chicago despite wanting to visit to see the special things held in Museums there.
LOL! Only the Chicago Bears!


*** Gerda GG you are the only one I know of who has Martin's book. If you come across the part where he describes the 280 million then please let me know even PM or in this (then ) old thread.

Martin, If that clear disclosure is IN your book I might be compelled by curiosity, to buy it!

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Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 59128 Graham Hancock 05-Aug-19 12:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 426 Martinsw1 05-Aug-19 12:54
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 395 cloister 06-Aug-19 04:28
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 408 Martinsw1 06-Aug-19 09:00
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 338 cloister 07-Aug-19 10:54
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 358 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 13:58
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 336 cloister 08-Aug-19 07:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 332 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 14:55
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 431 Edmond 06-Aug-19 19:51
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 359 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 05:51
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 444 Edmond 07-Aug-19 08:48
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 351 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 14:05
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 347 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 20:28
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 332 Merrell 08-Aug-19 11:48
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 348 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 21:28
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 367 Edmond 08-Aug-19 07:42
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 340 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 14:35
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 338 Barbelo 09-Aug-19 01:15
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 348 Edmond 09-Aug-19 16:51
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 333 Eddie Larry 07-Aug-19 22:52
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 316 PB Bytes 08-Aug-19 20:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 407 Susan Doris 05-Aug-19 17:32
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 349 Martinsw1 05-Aug-19 20:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 336 Susan Doris 06-Aug-19 05:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 354 Edmond 07-Aug-19 13:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 358 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 14:10
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 329 Susan Doris 07-Aug-19 15:07
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 336 drrayeye 08-Aug-19 04:15
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 322 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 07:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 368 Merrell 08-Aug-19 08:29
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 312 drrayeye 08-Aug-19 17:27
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 364 Rebecca Bradley 08-Aug-19 15:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 352 PB Bytes 08-Aug-19 18:34
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 326 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 03:44
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 301 Susan Doris 10-Aug-19 05:34
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 316 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 05:57
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 306 PB Bytes 10-Aug-19 14:45
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 297 Corpuscles 10-Aug-19 22:37
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 300 PB Bytes 10-Aug-19 23:05
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 356 PB Bytes 11-Aug-19 15:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 311 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 05:58
Props to Corps 288 PB Bytes 12-Aug-19 17:03
Great job! 306 drrayeye 12-Aug-19 18:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 343 Corpuscles 09-Aug-19 01:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 308 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 06:30
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 314 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 03:46
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 336 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 07:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 328 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 10:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 405 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 10:40
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 314 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 12:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 342 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 13:07
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 403 unchartedxben 09-Aug-19 16:54
Plenty to talk about for thousands of years after the event! 299 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 01:29
Fall of a thousand suns 302 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 02:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 380 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 06:05
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 308 Eddie Larry 10-Aug-19 13:20
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 318 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 15:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 307 Eddie Larry 11-Aug-19 13:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 316 Martinsw1 11-Aug-19 19:42
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 304 PB Bytes 11-Aug-19 23:27
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 310 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 08:49
A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 308 Barbelo 12-Aug-19 21:16
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 306 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:28
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 303 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 18:18
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 297 Barbelo 13-Aug-19 23:46
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 302 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 00:12
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 300 Barbelo 14-Aug-19 04:03
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 300 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 14:26
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 296 Barbelo 14-Aug-19 21:09
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 287 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 21:55
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 298 PB Bytes 15-Aug-19 03:19
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 303 Barbelo 15-Aug-19 04:28
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 293 PB Bytes 15-Aug-19 14:24
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 306 Eddie Larry 15-Aug-19 15:56
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 291 PB Bytes 15-Aug-19 16:49
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 298 Eddie Larry 15-Aug-19 18:35
The rest of us 326 drrayeye 15-Aug-19 19:28
Little stone in the middle of nowhere 297 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 23:05
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 292 PB Bytes 15-Aug-19 23:19
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 285 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 23:54
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 295 greengirl5 16-Aug-19 00:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 340 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 09:06
Re: Your scorpion or your Scorpius is back to front 367 Edmond 12-Aug-19 10:13
Re: Your scorpion or your Scorpius is back to front 314 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:30
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 317 PB Bytes 12-Aug-19 14:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 307 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:33
Constellation, or death-cult? 324 Merrell 13-Aug-19 06:55
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 313 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:44
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 322 PB Bytes 13-Aug-19 18:46
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 308 Martinsw1 14-Aug-19 08:40
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 308 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 14:11
Lost or last civilisation? 307 greengirl5 14-Aug-19 22:28
Re: Lost or last civilisation? 294 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 00:06
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 319 Rebecca Bradley 12-Aug-19 06:26
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 330 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 08:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 317 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 23:01
Planet destruction 297 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 00:04
Re: Planet destruction 299 Corpuscles 13-Aug-19 01:50
Re: Planet destruction 290 Eddie Larry 13-Aug-19 04:09
Re: Planet destruction 294 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 06:11
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 302 Susan Doris 13-Aug-19 05:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 338 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:49
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 326 Rebecca Bradley 13-Aug-19 02:47
Composite animals 288 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 06:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 338 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 11:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 333 Rebecca Bradley 14-Aug-19 06:56
Ibex or Feline? 317 greengirl5 14-Aug-19 08:40
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 390 Martinsw1 14-Aug-19 08:44
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 300 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 14:09
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 327 Rebecca Bradley 15-Aug-19 04:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 318 Corpuscles 15-Aug-19 06:03
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 320 cloister 15-Aug-19 07:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 338 Martinsw1 16-Aug-19 08:25
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 335 PB Bytes 16-Aug-19 16:35
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 332 Rebecca Bradley 17-Aug-19 06:48
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 318 Martinsw1 17-Aug-19 07:59
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 324 Susan Doris 17-Aug-19 10:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 312 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 07:42
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 348 Martinsw1 18-Aug-19 08:17
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 341 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 09:08
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 321 Corpuscles 18-Aug-19 22:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 333 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:24
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 299 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 12:54
coming from a casual reader 307 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 14:20
Re: coming from a casual reader 294 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 15:57
Re: coming from a casual reader 282 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 17:41
Re: coming from a casual reader 296 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 20:18
280 million years 301 greengirl5 20-Aug-19 21:56
Re: 280 million years 293 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 22:23
Re: 280 million years 291 greengirl5 21-Aug-19 06:41
Support for Mrs. O'Leary's "milk factory" (in song) 266 drrayeye 21-Aug-19 00:55
Re: coming from a casual gambler 273 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 21:36
Re: coming from a casual gambler 287 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 21:46
Re: coming from a casual reader 279 Eddie Larry 21-Aug-19 00:03
Re: coming from a casual reader 279 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 01:21
American joke 287 drrayeye 21-Aug-19 02:11
Re: coming from a casual reader 277 Eddie Larry 21-Aug-19 02:23
Re: coming from a casual reader 283 PB Bytes 20-Aug-19 16:32
Re: coming from a casual reader 265 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 17:46
Re: coming from a casual reader 281 PB Bytes 20-Aug-19 18:06
Re: coming from a casual reader 296 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 20:33
Re: coming from a casual reader 285 PB Bytes 20-Aug-19 22:29
Re: coming from a casual reader 282 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 22:52
Zodiacal Art & Precession 292 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 22:25
Re: Zodiacal Art & Precession 279 PB Bytes 21-Aug-19 04:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 302 PB Bytes 17-Aug-19 15:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 310 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 08:48
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 286 PB Bytes 18-Aug-19 16:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 285 Rebecca Bradley 20-Aug-19 07:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 289 Susan Doris 20-Aug-19 10:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 280 PB Bytes 20-Aug-19 19:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 290 Martinsw1 20-Aug-19 08:17
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 297 Rebecca Bradley 20-Aug-19 22:55
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 318 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 23:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 331 Rebecca Bradley 22-Aug-19 06:48
The Test? 313 PB Bytes 21-Aug-19 15:59
Re: The Test? 293 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 21:25
Re: The Test? 280 PB Bytes 21-Aug-19 21:58
Re: The Test? 291 Barbelo 21-Aug-19 22:05
Re: The Test? 295 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 22:52
Re: The Test? 296 Rebecca Bradley 22-Aug-19 05:31
Re: The Test? 287 Barbelo 22-Aug-19 05:48
Re: The Test? 301 PB Bytes 22-Aug-19 14:21
Revising... The Test? 308 PB Bytes 22-Aug-19 16:48
animal anatomy lesson #1 311 hendrik dirker 22-Aug-19 19:02
Re: animal anatomy lesson #1 326 PB Bytes 22-Aug-19 19:06
Re: animal anatomy 307 hendrik dirker 24-Aug-19 06:09
Re: animal anatomy 320 PB Bytes 24-Aug-19 16:25
Re: Revising... The Test? 293 Rebecca Bradley 24-Aug-19 07:22
Re: Revising... The Test? 280 PB Bytes 24-Aug-19 15:30
Re: Revising... The Test? 277 Rebecca Bradley 31-Aug-19 06:03
Re: Revising... The Test? 276 PB Bytes 31-Aug-19 17:08
Re: Revising... The Test? 264 Eddie Larry 31-Aug-19 17:32
Re: Revising... The Test? 271 PB Bytes 31-Aug-19 19:52
Re: Revising... The Test? 269 Rebecca Bradley 01-Sep-19 04:03
Re: Revising... The Test? 251 PB Bytes 01-Sep-19 15:30
Re: Revising... The Test? 275 Eddie Larry 01-Sep-19 15:45
Re: Revising... The Test? 277 Rebecca Bradley 01-Sep-19 04:15
Research design perspective 300 drrayeye 14-Aug-19 22:21
Re: Research design perspective 274 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 22:43
Re: Research design perspective 293 Susan Doris 15-Aug-19 05:01
Re: Research design perspective 316 Martinsw1 15-Aug-19 07:08
Re: Research design perspective 295 PB Bytes 17-Aug-19 15:43
Re: Research design perspective 300 drrayeye 17-Aug-19 17:25
Re: Research design perspective 289 Martinsw1 18-Aug-19 08:00
Re: Research design perspective 276 drrayeye 18-Aug-19 21:42
Re: Research design perspective 300 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:32
Re: Research design perspective 292 Corpuscles 19-Aug-19 22:32
Not Science, No Proof 319 Barbelo 18-Aug-19 22:44
Re: Not Science, No Proof 330 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:35
Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 292 Barbelo 19-Aug-19 11:03
Re: Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 321 Martinsw1 20-Aug-19 08:58
Re: Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 301 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 12:00
Earth orbital antics 337 hendrik dirker 20-Aug-19 18:39
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 362 Martinsw1 11-Aug-19 19:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 341 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 06:12
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 343 Rebecca Bradley 12-Aug-19 06:42
individual subjectivity and objective consensus 325 PB Bytes 12-Aug-19 16:59
Re: individual subjectivity and objective consensus 327 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:40
Other thoughts. 320 PB Bytes 13-Aug-19 16:32
Re: Other thoughts. 309 drrayeye 13-Aug-19 17:48
Re: Other thoughts. 304 PB Bytes 13-Aug-19 18:42
Re: Other thoughts. 310 drrayeye 13-Aug-19 19:06
Reading the book 310 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 22:40
Re: Reading the book 304 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 03:11
Re: Other thoughts. 303 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 01:20
Re: Other thoughts. 312 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 02:51
Re: Other thoughts. 307 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 03:35
Re: Other thoughts. 285 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 03:53
Re: Other thoughts. 298 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 17:54
Re: Other thoughts. 304 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 19:02
Re: Other thoughts. 307 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 19:32
Re: Other thoughts. 295 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 20:24
Re: Other thoughts. 309 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 04:49
Re: Other thoughts. 313 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 05:13
Re: Other thoughts. 305 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 14:35
Dr. Sweatman, in case you didn't know... 378 PB Bytes 09-Aug-19 15:56
The Zodiac 320 hendrik dirker 10-Aug-19 12:00
Re: The Zodiac 325 PB Bytes 10-Aug-19 14:58
Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 299 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 23:15
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 291 PB Bytes 10-Aug-19 23:52
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 312 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 00:07
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 299 PB Bytes 11-Aug-19 00:20
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 308 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 00:26
Just been outside to see Scorpius 309 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 11:40
Re: Just been outside to see Scorpius 305 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 12:51
Re: Just been outside to see Scorpius 325 Susan Doris 11-Aug-19 12:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 332 PB Bytes 12-Aug-19 14:18
Regarding the wider picture down the line 327 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 16:47
Re: Regarding the wider picture down the line 361 Martinsw1 15-Aug-19 07:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 352 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 23:13
A new question 282 PB Bytes 01-Sep-19 17:25
Re: A new question 755 Rebecca Bradley 02-Sep-19 04:20


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