No, the probability of it happening is completely unknown.
Well said Paul. The “unknown”:is the theologians’ friend, probabilities not so much! IMO.
cf. “Marx had taken the goddess ‘Historical Necessity’ in place of Yahweh for his deity and the internal proletariat of the Western World in place of Jewry for his chosen people, and his Messianic Kingdom is conceived of as a Dictatorship of the Proletariat; but the salient features of the Jewish Apocalypse protrude through this threadbare disguise.”
-- Arnold Toynbee, A Study of History)
This seems quite an overly simplistic view of Marxism. But effective in protecting the status quo.