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You're approach sounds a lot like my own.

With more complex syncs, I believe a limited improbability analysis is best. I think we can present compelling floors in many cases.

I think the best approach is to to establish a general floor, a very conservative measure of aggregate improbability. Anything beyond that is diminishing returns, since we can't really establish a final level of improbability when it comes to syncs that have multiple meaningful associations. Beyond that, I think the best approach is to seek replication. Some events are especially well-suited for such an analysis, like soccer goals, since a soccer goal is a soccer goal is a soccer goal. There is much for would-be skeptics to use for comparison's sake, if they dare to. But as I said, I see two components in this test. What are the odds AND what do the odds connect to?

That aside, you raise another nuanced point here. Now that I've looked at various web sites devoted to the subject, I am left with the feeling that a lot of people don't want to know what the odds are. They see their personal experience of synchronicity as non-random and, noise notwithstanding, the real syncs likely are. If they want to post pics and like pics that show digital clocks showing 2:22 and 1:11, God bless them.

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 2376 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 458 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 413 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 410 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 400 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 404 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 396 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 394 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 393 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 379 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 364 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 380 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 395 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 358 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 397 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 356 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 342 PB Bytes 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 341 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 332 PB Bytes 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 349 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 331 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 326 PB Bytes 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 324 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 342 PB Bytes 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 324 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 341 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 320 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 322 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 335 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 346 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 327 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 326 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 330 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 319 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 351 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 316 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 317 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 329 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 341 PB Bytes 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 351 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 330 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 335 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 328 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 337 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 537 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 334 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 339 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 335 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 330 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 343 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 336 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 346 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 338 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 337 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 345 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 363 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 446 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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