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Mark,

The association between any two events can be measured statistically in terms of a correlation. For events over time, it's a regression. Any events can be correlated, but may or may not truly related. In scientific studies, one hopes to develop correlated events into events in which one causes the other by removing error, but that concept is somewhat slippery.

For example, we know that increases in global temperature are associated with increased CO2 in the atmosphere, but we can't show a clear causal relationship. The correlation between these events is far above zero (pure chance), but less than a true causal relationship (100% positive association). In other words, the correlation between the events is increasing, the regression over years is positive. If we compare the calculated correlation with chance, it reaches a point where we must reject chance as an explanation. The slope of a regression line is clearly rising. We say that CO2 is forcing increases in temperature--but not causing the increase.

IMO, that statistical language captures what you are saying about synchronicities: the likelihood of the association between the events is too strong to be reasonably explained by chance. The strength of the association is the square of the correlation coefficient. In practical terms, that means an association with 25% strength is interesting, and over 50% may be forcing.

I think that's a better way of saying it than an odds ratio.

Ray

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 2393 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 463 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 417 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 415 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 404 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 408 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 400 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 399 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 397 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 383 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 370 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 385 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 399 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 363 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 401 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 360 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 346 PB Bytes 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 346 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 337 PB Bytes 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 354 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 335 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 330 PB Bytes 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 328 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 346 PB Bytes 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 330 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 345 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 324 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 327 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 341 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 350 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 331 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 330 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 335 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 324 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 356 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 325 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 323 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 335 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 345 PB Bytes 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 355 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 334 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 340 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 333 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 341 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 542 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 339 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 343 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 339 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 334 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 347 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 341 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 350 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 342 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 342 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 349 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 367 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 450 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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