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Here's the link, as promised.

To what I said to Daniel: I didn't here about this story until it was well underway. What caught my attention was the salience of the story - it was huge in Britain - and the clearly improbable 'King-related' twist that was at the story's forefront (a salient part of that narrative).

This may clarify the difference between producing a 'pattern' versus a 'comparable' pattern. Any honest appraisal of the associations mentioned will lead to the conclusion that the connections mentioned all link to things that are of clear consequence (otherwise I wouldn't mention them). They don't link to 'anything' in other words, which is the essence of the argument that one can find "patterns" anywhere. Good luck finding, with any 'empirical' consistency, similar unfoldings where such layered significance is tied to clearly significant-salient moments. Not saying that you can't do it, but that would be where the rubber meets the road.

Just to be clear, I am not insisting that this case study is most likely non-random, only that it appears to be at this point, owing to how salience and improbability connect with things that are salient themselves, and relevant for various reasons. As such, the overall results mimics how people interpret synchronicity at the personal level. But is what's perceived truly non-random?

(In closing, since the date 4/4 plays such a pivotal role in this example, I will add without further commentary that this particular manifestation is strangely common when it comes to major public events, "The Fours" have a way of showing up in salient places, more often than it seems they should in random settings.)



Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 27-Sep-18 19:45 by Poster Boy.

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 2376 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 458 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 413 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 410 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 399 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 404 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 396 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 394 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 393 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 379 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 364 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 380 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 394 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 358 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 396 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 356 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 342 PB Bytes 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 341 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 331 PB Bytes 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 348 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 331 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 326 PB Bytes 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 324 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 342 PB Bytes 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 324 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 341 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 320 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 322 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 335 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 346 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 327 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 326 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 330 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 319 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 351 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 316 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 317 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 329 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 341 PB Bytes 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 351 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 330 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 334 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 328 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 337 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 537 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 334 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 339 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 334 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 330 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 343 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 336 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 346 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 338 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 337 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 344 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 363 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 446 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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