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Here's the link, as promised.

To what I said to Daniel: I didn't here about this story until it was well underway. What caught my attention was the salience of the story - it was huge in Britain - and the clearly improbable 'King-related' twist that was at the story's forefront (a salient part of that narrative).

This may clarify the difference between producing a 'pattern' versus a 'comparable' pattern. Any honest appraisal of the associations mentioned will lead to the conclusion that the connections mentioned all link to things that are of clear consequence (otherwise I wouldn't mention them). They don't link to 'anything' in other words, which is the essence of the argument that one can find "patterns" anywhere. Good luck finding, with any 'empirical' consistency, similar unfoldings where such layered significance is tied to clearly significant-salient moments. Not saying that you can't do it, but that would be where the rubber meets the road.

Just to be clear, I am not insisting that this case study is most likely non-random, only that it appears to be at this point, owing to how salience and improbability connect with things that are salient themselves, and relevant for various reasons. As such, the overall results mimics how people interpret synchronicity at the personal level. But is what's perceived truly non-random?

(In closing, since the date 4/4 plays such a pivotal role in this example, I will add without further commentary that this particular manifestation is strangely common when it comes to major public events, "The Fours" have a way of showing up in salient places, more often than it seems they should in random settings.)



Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 27-Sep-18 19:45 by Poster Boy.

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 2398 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 466 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 420 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 419 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 406 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 413 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 402 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 401 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 399 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 386 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 372 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 387 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 402 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 365 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 403 PB Bytes 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 364 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 349 PB Bytes 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 349 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 339 PB Bytes 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 356 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 339 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 332 PB Bytes 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 330 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 350 PB Bytes 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 333 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 349 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 328 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 331 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 343 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 352 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 334 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 333 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 337 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 326 PB Bytes 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 358 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 345 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 325 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 338 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 347 PB Bytes 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 357 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 336 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 342 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 335 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 344 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 544 PB Bytes 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 341 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 347 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 341 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 338 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 349 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 343 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 353 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 345 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 344 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 351 PB Bytes 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 369 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 453 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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