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You will see that the con job "ranking" of 2 is what changes Martin's degree of certainty from chance they are representing constellations, from 1 in 280 million chance he is wrong to 1 in 140 million chance he is wrong.

Does being wrong only once in 280 million or 140 million mean that one is right?

Or, does it still mean that one is wrong?

Does that one time occur on the first throw of the dice or the last or somewhere in between?

If it's the first throw, which appears to be most likely, then, in the words of the AOM, "It's a done deal."

And when did consensus become science?

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Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 58971 Graham Hancock 05-Aug-19 12:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 375 Martinsw1 05-Aug-19 12:54
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 340 cloister 06-Aug-19 04:28
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 347 Martinsw1 06-Aug-19 09:00
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 286 cloister 07-Aug-19 10:54
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 303 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 13:58
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 282 cloister 08-Aug-19 07:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 279 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 14:55
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 380 Edmond 06-Aug-19 19:51
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 307 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 05:51
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 383 Edmond 07-Aug-19 08:48
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 301 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 14:05
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 296 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 20:28
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 281 Merrell 08-Aug-19 11:48
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 298 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 21:28
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 317 Edmond 08-Aug-19 07:42
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 290 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 14:35
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 284 Barbelo 09-Aug-19 01:15
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 293 Edmond 09-Aug-19 16:51
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 282 Eddie Larry 07-Aug-19 22:52
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 260 Poster Boy 08-Aug-19 20:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 355 Susan Doris 05-Aug-19 17:32
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 301 Martinsw1 05-Aug-19 20:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 286 Susan Doris 06-Aug-19 05:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 302 Edmond 07-Aug-19 13:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 307 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 14:10
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 277 Susan Doris 07-Aug-19 15:07
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 287 drrayeye 08-Aug-19 04:15
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 273 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 07:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 311 Merrell 08-Aug-19 08:29
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 264 drrayeye 08-Aug-19 17:27
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 313 Rebecca Bradley 08-Aug-19 15:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 297 Poster Boy 08-Aug-19 18:34
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 275 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 03:44
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 244 Susan Doris 10-Aug-19 05:34
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 265 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 05:57
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 256 Poster Boy 10-Aug-19 14:45
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 247 Corpuscles 10-Aug-19 22:37
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 248 Poster Boy 10-Aug-19 23:05
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 306 Poster Boy 11-Aug-19 15:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 261 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 05:58
Props to Corps 239 Poster Boy 12-Aug-19 17:03
Great job! 253 drrayeye 12-Aug-19 18:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 293 Corpuscles 09-Aug-19 01:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 259 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 06:30
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 262 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 03:46
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 285 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 07:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 277 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 10:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 348 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 10:40
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 263 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 12:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 288 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 13:07
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 350 unchartedxben 09-Aug-19 16:54
Plenty to talk about for thousands of years after the event! 252 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 01:29
Fall of a thousand suns 251 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 02:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 324 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 06:05
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 252 Eddie Larry 10-Aug-19 13:20
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 267 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 15:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 256 Eddie Larry 11-Aug-19 13:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 260 Martinsw1 11-Aug-19 19:42
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 251 Poster Boy 11-Aug-19 23:27
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 259 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 08:49
A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 256 Barbelo 12-Aug-19 21:16
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 251 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:28
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 249 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 18:18
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 247 Barbelo 13-Aug-19 23:46
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 248 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 00:12
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 247 Barbelo 14-Aug-19 04:03
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 249 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 14:26
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 244 Barbelo 14-Aug-19 21:09
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 237 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 21:55
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 242 Poster Boy 15-Aug-19 03:19
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 253 Barbelo 15-Aug-19 04:28
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 244 Poster Boy 15-Aug-19 14:24
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 257 Eddie Larry 15-Aug-19 15:56
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 241 Poster Boy 15-Aug-19 16:49
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 250 Eddie Larry 15-Aug-19 18:35
The rest of us 276 drrayeye 15-Aug-19 19:28
Little stone in the middle of nowhere 244 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 23:05
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 241 Poster Boy 15-Aug-19 23:19
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 236 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 23:54
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 243 greengirl5 16-Aug-19 00:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 282 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 09:06
Re: Your scorpion or your Scorpius is back to front 314 Edmond 12-Aug-19 10:13
Re: Your scorpion or your Scorpius is back to front 264 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:30
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 263 Poster Boy 12-Aug-19 14:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 256 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:33
Constellation, or death-cult? 269 Merrell 13-Aug-19 06:55
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 261 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:44
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 264 Poster Boy 13-Aug-19 18:46
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 257 Martinsw1 14-Aug-19 08:40
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 259 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 14:11
Lost or last civilisation? 256 greengirl5 14-Aug-19 22:28
Re: Lost or last civilisation? 244 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 00:06
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 264 Rebecca Bradley 12-Aug-19 06:26
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 276 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 08:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 264 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 23:01
Planet destruction 245 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 00:04
Re: Planet destruction 248 Corpuscles 13-Aug-19 01:50
Re: Planet destruction 242 Eddie Larry 13-Aug-19 04:09
Re: Planet destruction 246 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 06:11
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 252 Susan Doris 13-Aug-19 05:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 282 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:49
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 277 Rebecca Bradley 13-Aug-19 02:47
Composite animals 238 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 06:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 286 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 11:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 280 Rebecca Bradley 14-Aug-19 06:56
Ibex or Feline? 260 greengirl5 14-Aug-19 08:40
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 330 Martinsw1 14-Aug-19 08:44
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 249 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 14:09
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 276 Rebecca Bradley 15-Aug-19 04:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 265 Corpuscles 15-Aug-19 06:03
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 266 cloister 15-Aug-19 07:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 285 Martinsw1 16-Aug-19 08:25
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 275 Poster Boy 16-Aug-19 16:35
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 280 Rebecca Bradley 17-Aug-19 06:48
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 265 Martinsw1 17-Aug-19 07:59
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 274 Susan Doris 17-Aug-19 10:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 258 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 07:42
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 287 Martinsw1 18-Aug-19 08:17
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 289 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 09:08
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 268 Corpuscles 18-Aug-19 22:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 277 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:24
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 249 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 12:54
coming from a casual reader 254 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 14:20
Re: coming from a casual reader 241 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 15:57
Re: coming from a casual reader 232 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 17:41
Re: coming from a casual reader 244 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 20:18
280 million years 248 greengirl5 20-Aug-19 21:56
Re: 280 million years 243 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 22:23
Re: 280 million years 242 greengirl5 21-Aug-19 06:41
Support for Mrs. O'Leary's "milk factory" (in song) 216 drrayeye 21-Aug-19 00:55
Re: coming from a casual gambler 226 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 21:36
Re: coming from a casual gambler 236 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 21:46
Re: coming from a casual reader 230 Eddie Larry 21-Aug-19 00:03
Re: coming from a casual reader 228 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 01:21
American joke 238 drrayeye 21-Aug-19 02:11
Re: coming from a casual reader 229 Eddie Larry 21-Aug-19 02:23
Re: coming from a casual reader 234 Poster Boy 20-Aug-19 16:32
Re: coming from a casual reader 212 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 17:46
Re: coming from a casual reader 231 Poster Boy 20-Aug-19 18:06
Re: coming from a casual reader 247 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 20:33
Re: coming from a casual reader 238 Poster Boy 20-Aug-19 22:29
Re: coming from a casual reader 232 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 22:52
Zodiacal Art & Precession 242 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 22:25
Re: Zodiacal Art & Precession 231 Poster Boy 21-Aug-19 04:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 253 Poster Boy 17-Aug-19 15:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 258 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 08:48
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 231 Poster Boy 18-Aug-19 16:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 235 Rebecca Bradley 20-Aug-19 07:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 240 Susan Doris 20-Aug-19 10:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 232 Poster Boy 20-Aug-19 19:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 240 Martinsw1 20-Aug-19 08:17
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 246 Rebecca Bradley 20-Aug-19 22:55
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 259 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 23:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 280 Rebecca Bradley 22-Aug-19 06:48
The Test? 262 Poster Boy 21-Aug-19 15:59
Re: The Test? 244 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 21:25
Re: The Test? 229 Poster Boy 21-Aug-19 21:58
Re: The Test? 238 Barbelo 21-Aug-19 22:05
Re: The Test? 244 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 22:52
Re: The Test? 247 Rebecca Bradley 22-Aug-19 05:31
Re: The Test? 238 Barbelo 22-Aug-19 05:48
Re: The Test? 250 Poster Boy 22-Aug-19 14:21
Revising... The Test? 258 Poster Boy 22-Aug-19 16:48
animal anatomy lesson #1 259 hendrik dirker 22-Aug-19 19:02
Re: animal anatomy lesson #1 276 Poster Boy 22-Aug-19 19:06
Re: animal anatomy 256 hendrik dirker 24-Aug-19 06:09
Re: animal anatomy 267 Poster Boy 24-Aug-19 16:25
Re: Revising... The Test? 243 Rebecca Bradley 24-Aug-19 07:22
Re: Revising... The Test? 233 Poster Boy 24-Aug-19 15:30
Re: Revising... The Test? 227 Rebecca Bradley 31-Aug-19 06:03
Re: Revising... The Test? 227 Poster Boy 31-Aug-19 17:08
Re: Revising... The Test? 216 Eddie Larry 31-Aug-19 17:32
Re: Revising... The Test? 221 Poster Boy 31-Aug-19 19:52
Re: Revising... The Test? 221 Rebecca Bradley 01-Sep-19 04:03
Re: Revising... The Test? 201 Poster Boy 01-Sep-19 15:30
Re: Revising... The Test? 224 Eddie Larry 01-Sep-19 15:45
Re: Revising... The Test? 228 Rebecca Bradley 01-Sep-19 04:15
Research design perspective 251 drrayeye 14-Aug-19 22:21
Re: Research design perspective 224 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 22:43
Re: Research design perspective 245 Susan Doris 15-Aug-19 05:01
Re: Research design perspective 265 Martinsw1 15-Aug-19 07:08
Re: Research design perspective 241 Poster Boy 17-Aug-19 15:43
Re: Research design perspective 248 drrayeye 17-Aug-19 17:25
Re: Research design perspective 237 Martinsw1 18-Aug-19 08:00
Re: Research design perspective 226 drrayeye 18-Aug-19 21:42
Re: Research design perspective 247 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:32
Re: Research design perspective 239 Corpuscles 19-Aug-19 22:32
Not Science, No Proof 267 Barbelo 18-Aug-19 22:44
Re: Not Science, No Proof 279 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:35
Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 241 Barbelo 19-Aug-19 11:03
Re: Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 270 Martinsw1 20-Aug-19 08:58
Re: Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 249 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 12:00
Earth orbital antics 282 hendrik dirker 20-Aug-19 18:39
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 303 Martinsw1 11-Aug-19 19:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 286 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 06:12
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 290 Rebecca Bradley 12-Aug-19 06:42
individual subjectivity and objective consensus 275 Poster Boy 12-Aug-19 16:59
Re: individual subjectivity and objective consensus 277 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:40
Other thoughts. 265 Poster Boy 13-Aug-19 16:32
Re: Other thoughts. 255 drrayeye 13-Aug-19 17:48
Re: Other thoughts. 255 Poster Boy 13-Aug-19 18:42
Re: Other thoughts. 261 drrayeye 13-Aug-19 19:06
Reading the book 259 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 22:40
Re: Reading the book 253 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 03:11
Re: Other thoughts. 249 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 01:20
Re: Other thoughts. 261 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 02:51
Re: Other thoughts. 260 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 03:35
Re: Other thoughts. 237 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 03:53
Re: Other thoughts. 245 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 17:54
Re: Other thoughts. 255 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 19:02
Re: Other thoughts. 256 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 19:32
Re: Other thoughts. 245 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 20:24
Re: Other thoughts. 257 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 04:49
Re: Other thoughts. 264 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 05:13
Re: Other thoughts. 254 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 14:35
Dr. Sweatman, in case you didn't know... 325 Poster Boy 09-Aug-19 15:56
The Zodiac 268 hendrik dirker 10-Aug-19 12:00
Re: The Zodiac 272 Poster Boy 10-Aug-19 14:58
Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 249 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 23:15
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 239 Poster Boy 10-Aug-19 23:52
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 263 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 00:07
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 247 Poster Boy 11-Aug-19 00:20
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 259 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 00:26
Just been outside to see Scorpius 260 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 11:40
Re: Just been outside to see Scorpius 255 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 12:51
Re: Just been outside to see Scorpius 276 Susan Doris 11-Aug-19 12:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 282 Poster Boy 12-Aug-19 14:18
Regarding the wider picture down the line 278 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 16:47
Re: Regarding the wider picture down the line 307 Martinsw1 15-Aug-19 07:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 296 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 23:13
A new question 232 Poster Boy 01-Sep-19 17:25
Re: A new question 675 Rebecca Bradley 02-Sep-19 04:20


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