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Ray
Thanks for the reply. Much clearer.

drrayeye Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Steve,
>
> A scientist is allowed (even required) to "guess"
> and make assumptions (even outrageous assumptions)
> as long as it leads to experiment. If the "guess"
> is not supported by evidence, one either rejects
> the guess, or refines the study and tries again.
>
> The scientist always knows that his "guess" is
> wrong--and that it will be amended or replaced by
> a better "guess" in the future. Meanwhile, the
> prevailing statistically significant findings
> remain "king of the hill."

As a "casual reader" it would seem you have spent very little time investigating the basis for the AoM
"statistically significant findings".

I assure you, if you have professional association with such endeavours, it will be well worth your time investigating (even just the youtube disclosure posted ) Absolute belly laugh in it for you!
>
> Those high numbers come from statistical "counting
> rules" that calculate the number of different
> combinations of events are possible with a given
> sample.

Thanks I knew that. It seems no one can get the base formula for it? Martin has ignored the question here and elsewhere.

***

>
> As to which animal, it's clearly the cow--if you
> believe the story about Mrs. O'leary and the
> Chicago fire.
>
> Ray

Interesting! I wonder why yu didn't think of which month Zodiac sign the place was settled in 1830 or which month it was officially declared a town in 1833.?
Of course, you likely guess or know I know virtually nothing about Chicago despite wanting to visit to see the special things held in Museums there.
LOL! Only the Chicago Bears!


*** Gerda GG you are the only one I know of who has Martin's book. If you come across the part where he describes the 280 million then please let me know even PM or in this (then ) old thread.

Martin, If that clear disclosure is IN your book I might be compelled by curiosity, to buy it!

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Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 57429 Graham Hancock 05-Aug-19 12:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 188 Martinsw1 05-Aug-19 12:54
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 148 cloister 06-Aug-19 04:28
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 158 Martinsw1 06-Aug-19 09:00
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 114 cloister 07-Aug-19 10:54
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 122 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 13:58
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 107 cloister 08-Aug-19 07:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 105 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 14:55
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 194 Edmond 06-Aug-19 19:51
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 137 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 05:51
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 160 Edmond 07-Aug-19 08:48
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 125 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 14:05
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 111 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 20:28
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 108 Merrell 08-Aug-19 11:48
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 117 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 21:28
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 139 Edmond 08-Aug-19 07:42
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 122 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 14:35
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 110 Barbelo 09-Aug-19 01:15
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 112 Edmond 09-Aug-19 16:51
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 109 Eddie Larry 07-Aug-19 22:52
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 97 Poster Boy 08-Aug-19 20:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 169 Susan Doris 05-Aug-19 17:32
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 130 Martinsw1 05-Aug-19 20:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 121 Susan Doris 06-Aug-19 05:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 130 Edmond 07-Aug-19 13:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 131 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 14:10
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 116 Susan Doris 07-Aug-19 15:07
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 113 drrayeye 08-Aug-19 04:15
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 106 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 07:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 133 Merrell 08-Aug-19 08:29
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 96 drrayeye 08-Aug-19 17:27
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 144 Rebecca Bradley 08-Aug-19 15:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 122 Poster Boy 08-Aug-19 18:34
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 101 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 03:44
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 89 Susan Doris 10-Aug-19 05:34
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 92 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 05:57
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 86 Poster Boy 10-Aug-19 14:45
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 80 Corpuscles 10-Aug-19 22:37
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 82 Poster Boy 10-Aug-19 23:05
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 117 Poster Boy 11-Aug-19 15:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 92 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 05:58
Props to Corps 80 Poster Boy 12-Aug-19 17:03
Great job! 83 drrayeye 12-Aug-19 18:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 126 Corpuscles 09-Aug-19 01:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 105 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 06:30
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 98 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 03:46
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 113 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 07:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 97 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 10:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 127 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 10:40
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 85 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 12:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 109 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 13:07
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 127 unchartedxben 09-Aug-19 16:54
Plenty to talk about for thousands of years after the event! 92 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 01:29
Fall of a thousand suns 89 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 02:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 129 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 06:05
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 86 Eddie Larry 10-Aug-19 13:20
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 109 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 15:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 81 Eddie Larry 11-Aug-19 13:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 87 Martinsw1 11-Aug-19 19:42
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 86 Poster Boy 11-Aug-19 23:27
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 89 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 08:49
A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 85 Barbelo 12-Aug-19 21:16
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 84 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:28
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 80 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 18:18
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 82 Barbelo 13-Aug-19 23:46
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 81 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 00:12
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 80 Barbelo 14-Aug-19 04:03
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 76 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 14:26
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 76 Barbelo 14-Aug-19 21:09
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 74 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 21:55
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 71 Poster Boy 15-Aug-19 03:19
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 76 Barbelo 15-Aug-19 04:28
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 78 Poster Boy 15-Aug-19 14:24
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 79 Eddie Larry 15-Aug-19 15:56
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 68 Poster Boy 15-Aug-19 16:49
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 68 Eddie Larry 15-Aug-19 18:35
The rest of us 84 drrayeye 15-Aug-19 19:28
Little stone in the middle of nowhere 70 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 23:05
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 74 Poster Boy 15-Aug-19 23:19
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 68 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 23:54
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 74 greengirl5 16-Aug-19 00:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 102 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 09:06
Re: Your scorpion or your Scorpius is back to front 143 Edmond 12-Aug-19 10:13
Re: Your scorpion or your Scorpius is back to front 81 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:30
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 99 Poster Boy 12-Aug-19 14:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 80 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:33
Constellation, or death-cult? 100 Merrell 13-Aug-19 06:55
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 88 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:44
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 95 Poster Boy 13-Aug-19 18:46
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 81 Martinsw1 14-Aug-19 08:40
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 83 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 14:11
Lost or last civilisation? 76 greengirl5 14-Aug-19 22:28
Re: Lost or last civilisation? 73 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 00:06
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 96 Rebecca Bradley 12-Aug-19 06:26
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 98 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 08:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 86 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 23:01
Planet destruction 78 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 00:04
Re: Planet destruction 81 Corpuscles 13-Aug-19 01:50
Re: Planet destruction 76 Eddie Larry 13-Aug-19 04:09
Re: Planet destruction 68 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 06:11
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 79 Susan Doris 13-Aug-19 05:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 88 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:49
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 94 Rebecca Bradley 13-Aug-19 02:47
Composite animals 76 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 06:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 105 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 11:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 104 Rebecca Bradley 14-Aug-19 06:56
Ibex or Feline? 82 greengirl5 14-Aug-19 08:40
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 163 Martinsw1 14-Aug-19 08:44
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 84 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 14:09
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 105 Rebecca Bradley 15-Aug-19 04:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 92 Corpuscles 15-Aug-19 06:03
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 90 cloister 15-Aug-19 07:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 103 Martinsw1 16-Aug-19 08:25
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 84 Poster Boy 16-Aug-19 16:35
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 98 Rebecca Bradley 17-Aug-19 06:48
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 93 Martinsw1 17-Aug-19 07:59
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 96 Susan Doris 17-Aug-19 10:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 82 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 07:42
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 89 Martinsw1 18-Aug-19 08:17
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 106 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 09:08
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 87 Corpuscles 18-Aug-19 22:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 91 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:24
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 80 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 12:54
coming from a casual reader 81 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 14:20
Re: coming from a casual reader 77 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 15:57
Re: coming from a casual reader 68 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 17:41
Re: coming from a casual reader 70 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 20:18
280 million years 72 greengirl5 20-Aug-19 21:56
Re: 280 million years 70 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 22:23
Re: 280 million years 72 greengirl5 21-Aug-19 06:41
Support for Mrs. O'Leary's "milk factory" (in song) 64 drrayeye 21-Aug-19 00:55
Re: coming from a casual gambler 66 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 21:36
Re: coming from a casual gambler 65 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 21:46
Re: coming from a casual reader 67 Eddie Larry 21-Aug-19 00:03
Re: coming from a casual reader 64 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 01:21
American joke 63 drrayeye 21-Aug-19 02:11
Re: coming from a casual reader 66 Eddie Larry 21-Aug-19 02:23
Re: coming from a casual reader 77 Poster Boy 20-Aug-19 16:32
Re: coming from a casual reader 63 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 17:46
Re: coming from a casual reader 69 Poster Boy 20-Aug-19 18:06
Re: coming from a casual reader 75 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 20:33
Re: coming from a casual reader 64 Poster Boy 20-Aug-19 22:29
Re: coming from a casual reader 64 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 22:52
Zodiacal Art & Precession 72 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 22:25
Re: Zodiacal Art & Precession 71 Poster Boy 21-Aug-19 04:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 90 Poster Boy 17-Aug-19 15:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 87 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 08:48
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 83 Poster Boy 18-Aug-19 16:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 75 Rebecca Bradley 20-Aug-19 07:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 69 Susan Doris 20-Aug-19 10:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 72 Poster Boy 20-Aug-19 19:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 80 Martinsw1 20-Aug-19 08:17
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 78 Rebecca Bradley 20-Aug-19 22:55
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 76 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 23:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 87 Rebecca Bradley 22-Aug-19 06:48
The Test? 101 Poster Boy 21-Aug-19 15:59
Re: The Test? 72 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 21:25
Re: The Test? 59 Poster Boy 21-Aug-19 21:58
Re: The Test? 66 Barbelo 21-Aug-19 22:05
Re: The Test? 68 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 22:52
Re: The Test? 82 Rebecca Bradley 22-Aug-19 05:31
Re: The Test? 78 Barbelo 22-Aug-19 05:48
Re: The Test? 75 Poster Boy 22-Aug-19 14:21
Revising... The Test? 94 Poster Boy 22-Aug-19 16:48
animal anatomy lesson #1 95 hendrik dirker 22-Aug-19 19:02
Re: animal anatomy lesson #1 97 Poster Boy 22-Aug-19 19:06
Re: animal anatomy 78 hendrik dirker 24-Aug-19 06:09
Re: animal anatomy 90 Poster Boy 24-Aug-19 16:25
Re: Revising... The Test? 78 Rebecca Bradley 24-Aug-19 07:22
Re: Revising... The Test? 70 Poster Boy 24-Aug-19 15:30
Re: Revising... The Test? 60 Rebecca Bradley 31-Aug-19 06:03
Re: Revising... The Test? 54 Poster Boy 31-Aug-19 17:08
Re: Revising... The Test? 50 Eddie Larry 31-Aug-19 17:32
Re: Revising... The Test? 56 Poster Boy 31-Aug-19 19:52
Re: Revising... The Test? 59 Rebecca Bradley 01-Sep-19 04:03
Re: Revising... The Test? 50 Poster Boy 01-Sep-19 15:30
Re: Revising... The Test? 51 Eddie Larry 01-Sep-19 15:45
Re: Revising... The Test? 60 Rebecca Bradley 01-Sep-19 04:15
Research design perspective 93 drrayeye 14-Aug-19 22:21
Re: Research design perspective 76 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 22:43
Re: Research design perspective 76 Susan Doris 15-Aug-19 05:01
Re: Research design perspective 86 Martinsw1 15-Aug-19 07:08
Re: Research design perspective 73 Poster Boy 17-Aug-19 15:43
Re: Research design perspective 86 drrayeye 17-Aug-19 17:25
Re: Research design perspective 80 Martinsw1 18-Aug-19 08:00
Re: Research design perspective 75 drrayeye 18-Aug-19 21:42
Re: Research design perspective 78 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:32
Re: Research design perspective 74 Corpuscles 19-Aug-19 22:32
Not Science, No Proof 98 Barbelo 18-Aug-19 22:44
Re: Not Science, No Proof 90 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:35
Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 80 Barbelo 19-Aug-19 11:03
Re: Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 94 Martinsw1 20-Aug-19 08:58
Re: Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 78 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 12:00
Earth orbital antics 94 hendrik dirker 20-Aug-19 18:39
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 128 Martinsw1 11-Aug-19 19:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 98 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 06:12
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 109 Rebecca Bradley 12-Aug-19 06:42
individual subjectivity and objective consensus 92 Poster Boy 12-Aug-19 16:59
Re: individual subjectivity and objective consensus 94 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:40
Other thoughts. 87 Poster Boy 13-Aug-19 16:32
Re: Other thoughts. 81 drrayeye 13-Aug-19 17:48
Re: Other thoughts. 84 Poster Boy 13-Aug-19 18:42
Re: Other thoughts. 81 drrayeye 13-Aug-19 19:06
Reading the book 78 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 22:40
Re: Reading the book 78 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 03:11
Re: Other thoughts. 80 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 01:20
Re: Other thoughts. 84 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 02:51
Re: Other thoughts. 76 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 03:35
Re: Other thoughts. 76 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 03:53
Re: Other thoughts. 76 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 17:54
Re: Other thoughts. 72 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 19:02
Re: Other thoughts. 76 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 19:32
Re: Other thoughts. 75 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 20:24
Re: Other thoughts. 90 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 04:49
Re: Other thoughts. 89 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 05:13
Re: Other thoughts. 85 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 14:35
Dr. Sweatman, in case you didn't know... 150 Poster Boy 09-Aug-19 15:56
The Zodiac 108 hendrik dirker 10-Aug-19 12:00
Re: The Zodiac 98 Poster Boy 10-Aug-19 14:58
Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 81 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 23:15
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 80 Poster Boy 10-Aug-19 23:52
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 88 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 00:07
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 86 Poster Boy 11-Aug-19 00:20
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 96 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 00:26
Just been outside to see Scorpius 95 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 11:40
Re: Just been outside to see Scorpius 103 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 12:51
Re: Just been outside to see Scorpius 126 Susan Doris 11-Aug-19 12:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 118 Poster Boy 12-Aug-19 14:18
Regarding the wider picture down the line 123 Poster Boy 14-Aug-19 16:47
Re: Regarding the wider picture down the line 127 Martinsw1 15-Aug-19 07:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 96 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 23:13
A new question 67 Poster Boy 01-Sep-19 17:25
Re: A new question 390 Rebecca Bradley 02-Sep-19 04:20


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