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Ray
Thanks for the reply. Much clearer.

drrayeye Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Steve,
>
> A scientist is allowed (even required) to "guess"
> and make assumptions (even outrageous assumptions)
> as long as it leads to experiment. If the "guess"
> is not supported by evidence, one either rejects
> the guess, or refines the study and tries again.
>
> The scientist always knows that his "guess" is
> wrong--and that it will be amended or replaced by
> a better "guess" in the future. Meanwhile, the
> prevailing statistically significant findings
> remain "king of the hill."

As a "casual reader" it would seem you have spent very little time investigating the basis for the AoM
"statistically significant findings".

I assure you, if you have professional association with such endeavours, it will be well worth your time investigating (even just the youtube disclosure posted ) Absolute belly laugh in it for you!
>
> Those high numbers come from statistical "counting
> rules" that calculate the number of different
> combinations of events are possible with a given
> sample.

Thanks I knew that. It seems no one can get the base formula for it? Martin has ignored the question here and elsewhere.

***

>
> As to which animal, it's clearly the cow--if you
> believe the story about Mrs. O'leary and the
> Chicago fire.
>
> Ray

Interesting! I wonder why yu didn't think of which month Zodiac sign the place was settled in 1830 or which month it was officially declared a town in 1833.?
Of course, you likely guess or know I know virtually nothing about Chicago despite wanting to visit to see the special things held in Museums there.
LOL! Only the Chicago Bears!


*** Gerda GG you are the only one I know of who has Martin's book. If you come across the part where he describes the 280 million then please let me know even PM or in this (then ) old thread.

Martin, If that clear disclosure is IN your book I might be compelled by curiosity, to buy it!

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Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 59026 Graham Hancock 05-Aug-19 12:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 395 Martinsw1 05-Aug-19 12:54
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 358 cloister 06-Aug-19 04:28
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 367 Martinsw1 06-Aug-19 09:00
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 305 cloister 07-Aug-19 10:54
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 322 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 13:58
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 301 cloister 08-Aug-19 07:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 300 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 14:55
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 397 Edmond 06-Aug-19 19:51
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 325 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 05:51
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 410 Edmond 07-Aug-19 08:48
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 320 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 14:05
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 315 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 20:28
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 298 Merrell 08-Aug-19 11:48
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 315 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 21:28
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 333 Edmond 08-Aug-19 07:42
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 308 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 14:35
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 302 Barbelo 09-Aug-19 01:15
Re: Sweatman's diluted pseudo archaeo astronomy 310 Edmond 09-Aug-19 16:51
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 301 Eddie Larry 07-Aug-19 22:52
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 281 PB Bytes 08-Aug-19 20:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 374 Susan Doris 05-Aug-19 17:32
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 319 Martinsw1 05-Aug-19 20:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 304 Susan Doris 06-Aug-19 05:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 319 Edmond 07-Aug-19 13:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 324 Martinsw1 07-Aug-19 14:10
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 295 Susan Doris 07-Aug-19 15:07
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 304 drrayeye 08-Aug-19 04:15
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 290 Martinsw1 08-Aug-19 07:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 330 Merrell 08-Aug-19 08:29
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 281 drrayeye 08-Aug-19 17:27
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 331 Rebecca Bradley 08-Aug-19 15:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 314 PB Bytes 08-Aug-19 18:34
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 293 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 03:44
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 262 Susan Doris 10-Aug-19 05:34
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 282 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 05:57
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 274 PB Bytes 10-Aug-19 14:45
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 264 Corpuscles 10-Aug-19 22:37
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 267 PB Bytes 10-Aug-19 23:05
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 325 PB Bytes 11-Aug-19 15:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 281 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 05:58
Props to Corps 257 PB Bytes 12-Aug-19 17:03
Great job! 273 drrayeye 12-Aug-19 18:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 311 Corpuscles 09-Aug-19 01:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 277 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 06:30
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured NONSENSE author for August 2019 282 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 03:46
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 303 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 07:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 294 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 10:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 372 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 10:40
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 280 Susan Doris 09-Aug-19 12:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 307 Martinsw1 09-Aug-19 13:07
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 369 unchartedxben 09-Aug-19 16:54
Plenty to talk about for thousands of years after the event! 270 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 01:29
Fall of a thousand suns 269 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 02:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 342 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 06:05
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 269 Eddie Larry 10-Aug-19 13:20
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 284 Rebecca Bradley 10-Aug-19 15:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 276 Eddie Larry 11-Aug-19 13:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 278 Martinsw1 11-Aug-19 19:42
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 268 PB Bytes 11-Aug-19 23:27
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 276 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 08:49
A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 275 Barbelo 12-Aug-19 21:16
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 268 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:28
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 267 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 18:18
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 265 Barbelo 13-Aug-19 23:46
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 266 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 00:12
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 265 Barbelo 14-Aug-19 04:03
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 266 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 14:26
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 263 Barbelo 14-Aug-19 21:09
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 254 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 21:55
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 262 PB Bytes 15-Aug-19 03:19
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 272 Barbelo 15-Aug-19 04:28
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 262 PB Bytes 15-Aug-19 14:24
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 275 Eddie Larry 15-Aug-19 15:56
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 259 PB Bytes 15-Aug-19 16:49
Re: A Sealed Deal? Of Course You Jest 267 Eddie Larry 15-Aug-19 18:35
The rest of us 294 drrayeye 15-Aug-19 19:28
Little stone in the middle of nowhere 267 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 23:05
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 258 PB Bytes 15-Aug-19 23:19
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 253 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 23:54
Re: Little stone in the middle of nowhere 261 greengirl5 16-Aug-19 00:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 300 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 09:06
Re: Your scorpion or your Scorpius is back to front 332 Edmond 12-Aug-19 10:13
Re: Your scorpion or your Scorpius is back to front 281 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:30
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 280 PB Bytes 12-Aug-19 14:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 273 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:33
Constellation, or death-cult? 289 Merrell 13-Aug-19 06:55
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 279 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:44
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 284 PB Bytes 13-Aug-19 18:46
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 275 Martinsw1 14-Aug-19 08:40
Re: Constellation, or death-cult? 278 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 14:11
Lost or last civilisation? 273 greengirl5 14-Aug-19 22:28
Re: Lost or last civilisation? 261 greengirl5 15-Aug-19 00:06
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 282 Rebecca Bradley 12-Aug-19 06:26
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 295 Martinsw1 12-Aug-19 08:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 282 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 23:01
Planet destruction 264 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 00:04
Re: Planet destruction 265 Corpuscles 13-Aug-19 01:50
Re: Planet destruction 260 Eddie Larry 13-Aug-19 04:09
Re: Planet destruction 264 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 06:11
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 269 Susan Doris 13-Aug-19 05:01
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 300 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:49
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 295 Rebecca Bradley 13-Aug-19 02:47
Composite animals 255 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 06:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 305 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 11:02
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 298 Rebecca Bradley 14-Aug-19 06:56
Ibex or Feline? 280 greengirl5 14-Aug-19 08:40
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 351 Martinsw1 14-Aug-19 08:44
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 266 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 14:09
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 295 Rebecca Bradley 15-Aug-19 04:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 284 Corpuscles 15-Aug-19 06:03
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 285 cloister 15-Aug-19 07:50
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 303 Martinsw1 16-Aug-19 08:25
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 301 PB Bytes 16-Aug-19 16:35
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 298 Rebecca Bradley 17-Aug-19 06:48
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 283 Martinsw1 17-Aug-19 07:59
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 291 Susan Doris 17-Aug-19 10:21
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 277 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 07:42
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 306 Martinsw1 18-Aug-19 08:17
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 307 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 09:08
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 287 Corpuscles 18-Aug-19 22:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 298 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:24
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 266 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 12:54
coming from a casual reader 272 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 14:20
Re: coming from a casual reader 259 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 15:57
Re: coming from a casual reader 249 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 17:41
Re: coming from a casual reader 262 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 20:18
280 million years 269 greengirl5 20-Aug-19 21:56
Re: 280 million years 261 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 22:23
Re: 280 million years 259 greengirl5 21-Aug-19 06:41
Support for Mrs. O'Leary's "milk factory" (in song) 235 drrayeye 21-Aug-19 00:55
Re: coming from a casual gambler 243 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 21:36
Re: coming from a casual gambler 254 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 21:46
Re: coming from a casual reader 247 Eddie Larry 21-Aug-19 00:03
Re: coming from a casual reader 246 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 01:21
American joke 256 drrayeye 21-Aug-19 02:11
Re: coming from a casual reader 247 Eddie Larry 21-Aug-19 02:23
Re: coming from a casual reader 252 PB Bytes 20-Aug-19 16:32
Re: coming from a casual reader 230 drrayeye 20-Aug-19 17:46
Re: coming from a casual reader 251 PB Bytes 20-Aug-19 18:06
Re: coming from a casual reader 264 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 20:33
Re: coming from a casual reader 255 PB Bytes 20-Aug-19 22:29
Re: coming from a casual reader 249 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 22:52
Zodiacal Art & Precession 262 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 22:25
Re: Zodiacal Art & Precession 248 PB Bytes 21-Aug-19 04:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 270 PB Bytes 17-Aug-19 15:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 275 Rebecca Bradley 18-Aug-19 08:48
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 250 PB Bytes 18-Aug-19 16:38
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 252 Rebecca Bradley 20-Aug-19 07:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 259 Susan Doris 20-Aug-19 10:23
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 251 PB Bytes 20-Aug-19 19:36
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 257 Martinsw1 20-Aug-19 08:17
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 264 Rebecca Bradley 20-Aug-19 22:55
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 279 Corpuscles 20-Aug-19 23:16
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 301 Rebecca Bradley 22-Aug-19 06:48
The Test? 280 PB Bytes 21-Aug-19 15:59
Re: The Test? 262 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 21:25
Re: The Test? 251 PB Bytes 21-Aug-19 21:58
Re: The Test? 256 Barbelo 21-Aug-19 22:05
Re: The Test? 261 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 22:52
Re: The Test? 265 Rebecca Bradley 22-Aug-19 05:31
Re: The Test? 255 Barbelo 22-Aug-19 05:48
Re: The Test? 267 PB Bytes 22-Aug-19 14:21
Revising... The Test? 275 PB Bytes 22-Aug-19 16:48
animal anatomy lesson #1 277 hendrik dirker 22-Aug-19 19:02
Re: animal anatomy lesson #1 297 PB Bytes 22-Aug-19 19:06
Re: animal anatomy 273 hendrik dirker 24-Aug-19 06:09
Re: animal anatomy 288 PB Bytes 24-Aug-19 16:25
Re: Revising... The Test? 261 Rebecca Bradley 24-Aug-19 07:22
Re: Revising... The Test? 250 PB Bytes 24-Aug-19 15:30
Re: Revising... The Test? 244 Rebecca Bradley 31-Aug-19 06:03
Re: Revising... The Test? 246 PB Bytes 31-Aug-19 17:08
Re: Revising... The Test? 233 Eddie Larry 31-Aug-19 17:32
Re: Revising... The Test? 240 PB Bytes 31-Aug-19 19:52
Re: Revising... The Test? 238 Rebecca Bradley 01-Sep-19 04:03
Re: Revising... The Test? 219 PB Bytes 01-Sep-19 15:30
Re: Revising... The Test? 241 Eddie Larry 01-Sep-19 15:45
Re: Revising... The Test? 246 Rebecca Bradley 01-Sep-19 04:15
Research design perspective 268 drrayeye 14-Aug-19 22:21
Re: Research design perspective 243 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 22:43
Re: Research design perspective 262 Susan Doris 15-Aug-19 05:01
Re: Research design perspective 283 Martinsw1 15-Aug-19 07:08
Re: Research design perspective 258 PB Bytes 17-Aug-19 15:43
Re: Research design perspective 267 drrayeye 17-Aug-19 17:25
Re: Research design perspective 255 Martinsw1 18-Aug-19 08:00
Re: Research design perspective 245 drrayeye 18-Aug-19 21:42
Re: Research design perspective 265 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:32
Re: Research design perspective 258 Corpuscles 19-Aug-19 22:32
Not Science, No Proof 286 Barbelo 18-Aug-19 22:44
Re: Not Science, No Proof 297 Martinsw1 19-Aug-19 08:35
Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 259 Barbelo 19-Aug-19 11:03
Re: Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 287 Martinsw1 20-Aug-19 08:58
Re: Pomposity Levels Not Exceeded On This Board 267 Barbelo 20-Aug-19 12:00
Earth orbital antics 302 hendrik dirker 20-Aug-19 18:39
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 320 Martinsw1 11-Aug-19 19:56
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 307 Corpuscles 12-Aug-19 06:12
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 308 Rebecca Bradley 12-Aug-19 06:42
individual subjectivity and objective consensus 292 PB Bytes 12-Aug-19 16:59
Re: individual subjectivity and objective consensus 295 Martinsw1 13-Aug-19 10:40
Other thoughts. 286 PB Bytes 13-Aug-19 16:32
Re: Other thoughts. 274 drrayeye 13-Aug-19 17:48
Re: Other thoughts. 274 PB Bytes 13-Aug-19 18:42
Re: Other thoughts. 280 drrayeye 13-Aug-19 19:06
Reading the book 278 greengirl5 13-Aug-19 22:40
Re: Reading the book 271 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 03:11
Re: Other thoughts. 267 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 01:20
Re: Other thoughts. 279 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 02:51
Re: Other thoughts. 277 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 03:35
Re: Other thoughts. 255 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 03:53
Re: Other thoughts. 264 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 17:54
Re: Other thoughts. 273 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 19:02
Re: Other thoughts. 274 Eddie Larry 14-Aug-19 19:32
Re: Other thoughts. 263 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 20:24
Re: Other thoughts. 276 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 04:49
Re: Other thoughts. 284 Corpuscles 14-Aug-19 05:13
Re: Other thoughts. 273 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 14:35
Dr. Sweatman, in case you didn't know... 345 PB Bytes 09-Aug-19 15:56
The Zodiac 285 hendrik dirker 10-Aug-19 12:00
Re: The Zodiac 290 PB Bytes 10-Aug-19 14:58
Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 267 greengirl5 10-Aug-19 23:15
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 257 PB Bytes 10-Aug-19 23:52
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 282 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 00:07
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 266 PB Bytes 11-Aug-19 00:20
Re: Scorpius, Orions belt, pareidolia 276 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 00:26
Just been outside to see Scorpius 278 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 11:40
Re: Just been outside to see Scorpius 274 greengirl5 11-Aug-19 12:51
Re: Just been outside to see Scorpius 294 Susan Doris 11-Aug-19 12:53
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 301 PB Bytes 12-Aug-19 14:18
Regarding the wider picture down the line 296 PB Bytes 14-Aug-19 16:47
Re: Regarding the wider picture down the line 325 Martinsw1 15-Aug-19 07:14
Re: Welcoming Dr Martin Sweatman our featured author for August 2019 317 Corpuscles 21-Aug-19 23:13
A new question 251 PB Bytes 01-Sep-19 17:25
Re: A new question 699 Rebecca Bradley 02-Sep-19 04:20


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