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You're approach sounds a lot like my own.

With more complex syncs, I believe a limited improbability analysis is best. I think we can present compelling floors in many cases.

I think the best approach is to to establish a general floor, a very conservative measure of aggregate improbability. Anything beyond that is diminishing returns, since we can't really establish a final level of improbability when it comes to syncs that have multiple meaningful associations. Beyond that, I think the best approach is to seek replication. Some events are especially well-suited for such an analysis, like soccer goals, since a soccer goal is a soccer goal is a soccer goal. There is much for would-be skeptics to use for comparison's sake, if they dare to. But as I said, I see two components in this test. What are the odds AND what do the odds connect to?

That aside, you raise another nuanced point here. Now that I've looked at various web sites devoted to the subject, I am left with the feeling that a lot of people don't want to know what the odds are. They see their personal experience of synchronicity as non-random and, noise notwithstanding, the real syncs likely are. If they want to post pics and like pics that show digital clocks showing 2:22 and 1:11, God bless them.

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 1823 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 229 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 188 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 172 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 177 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 169 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 167 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 163 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 163 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 154 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 152 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 156 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 153 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 148 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 162 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 155 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 153 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 153 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 147 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 152 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 150 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 150 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 147 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 156 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 149 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 147 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 143 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 145 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 157 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 149 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 146 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 147 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 147 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 150 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 145 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 144 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 145 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 144 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 151 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 147 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 147 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 145 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 143 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 147 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 229 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 152 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 154 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 158 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 147 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 150 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 156 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 151 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 150 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 151 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 152 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 165 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 186 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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