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You're approach sounds a lot like my own.

With more complex syncs, I believe a limited improbability analysis is best. I think we can present compelling floors in many cases.

I think the best approach is to to establish a general floor, a very conservative measure of aggregate improbability. Anything beyond that is diminishing returns, since we can't really establish a final level of improbability when it comes to syncs that have multiple meaningful associations. Beyond that, I think the best approach is to seek replication. Some events are especially well-suited for such an analysis, like soccer goals, since a soccer goal is a soccer goal is a soccer goal. There is much for would-be skeptics to use for comparison's sake, if they dare to. But as I said, I see two components in this test. What are the odds AND what do the odds connect to?

That aside, you raise another nuanced point here. Now that I've looked at various web sites devoted to the subject, I am left with the feeling that a lot of people don't want to know what the odds are. They see their personal experience of synchronicity as non-random and, noise notwithstanding, the real syncs likely are. If they want to post pics and like pics that show digital clocks showing 2:22 and 1:11, God bless them.

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 1787 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 214 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 174 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 158 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 164 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 155 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 153 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 149 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 148 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 140 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 137 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 142 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 139 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 134 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 147 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 141 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 139 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 139 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 134 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 136 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 137 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 136 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 133 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 144 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 136 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 133 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 129 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 131 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 144 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 135 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 132 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 132 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 133 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 133 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 129 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 130 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 131 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 130 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 136 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 132 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 133 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 131 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 129 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 133 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 207 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 141 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 139 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 143 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 134 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 136 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 141 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 136 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 137 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 139 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 137 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 152 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 173 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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