Paranormal & Supernatural :  The Official GrahamHancock.com forums
For discussions of everything that might be classed as ‘paranormal‘ - i.e. not currently accepted by our modern scientific paradigm. 
Welcome! Log InRegister
Lol, your article got me wanting to finish the framing.

So, if my approach is not unreasonable, to continue with the King cluster...

Adding to the first two discussed, Andy King (1/600 at least) and King Power company owning Leicester city (1/0 at least):

As far as this layman can tell, this seems like the most straightforward element: The odds that the owner of this franchise, or the 'king' (ceo) of the owning company, would have its birthday on the day of the turnaround game, is 1/365 .
'
Staying with the same formula, and the winning goal in LC's turnaround game extends the King theme three ways against a combined expectation of 2.1 million at least... 1/600 x 1/10 x 1/365

Then there's the fact that this was Andy King's 50th career goal for LC AND that LC was the only club he'd ever played for professionally. I'll close with thick thoughts on that.

The 50th goal was mentioned because we recognize 50 as special. If one were to say that every 50th goal would be comparable in this regard, his 100th, 150th etc, then I believe this 'hit' comes in at 1-in-50.

As for the latter consideration, I might try this, Ray: Andy King was in his tenth professional year when he scored this goal. How many top-flight players, who played ten or more years, played their entire first ten years of pro soccer with the same club, as Andy King did. Again I will set the bar ridiculously low, assuming that we can empirically determine that at least 1 in 10 players stayed with the same club for their first decade.

At [1/600 x 1/10 x 1/365 x 1/50 x 1/10] our cluster, which is highly conservative, is looking like a 1 in 1 billion kind of outcome.

Aside from this being surprisingly normal, Ray, I would only add this. One wrench I see is that there are other ways to make comparable clusters. For example, what if the subsequent "King" associations were replaced by similar ones based on "Richard"? Surely, since this an English story, it would have been noted, had this been Andy King's 66th goal. Now, King's 50th is seen to be one of at least two potentially meaningful, quite comparable amounts - and our 1-in-50 sketch number is seen to be something less...

One can quite easily envision somewhat comparable scenarios. I try to keep mindful of that. It's an important exercise in this kind of study, I believe. But then again, there's a difference between that approach and actually turning to random goals, to see what they might display in reality.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 03-Oct-18 01:43 by Poster Boy.

Options: ReplyQuote


Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 1943 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 284 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 252 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 232 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 233 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 229 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 222 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 222 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 225 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 219 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 211 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 215 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 226 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 208 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 228 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 217 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 202 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 200 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 193 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 199 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 198 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 199 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 197 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 202 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 194 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 197 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 189 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 194 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 205 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 197 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 193 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 193 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 197 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 194 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 194 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 193 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 193 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 191 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 198 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 196 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 196 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 194 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 192 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 195 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 303 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 201 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 203 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 204 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 195 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 198 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 203 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 198 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 196 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 199 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 199 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 213 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 233 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.