Paranormal & Supernatural :  The Official GrahamHancock.com forums
For discussions of everything that might be classed as ‘paranormal‘ - i.e. not currently accepted by our modern scientific paradigm. 
Welcome! Log InRegister
Lol, your article got me wanting to finish the framing.

So, if my approach is not unreasonable, to continue with the King cluster...

Adding to the first two discussed, Andy King (1/600 at least) and King Power company owning Leicester city (1/0 at least):

As far as this layman can tell, this seems like the most straightforward element: The odds that the owner of this franchise, or the 'king' (ceo) of the owning company, would have its birthday on the day of the turnaround game, is 1/365 .
'
Staying with the same formula, and the winning goal in LC's turnaround game extends the King theme three ways against a combined expectation of 2.1 million at least... 1/600 x 1/10 x 1/365

Then there's the fact that this was Andy King's 50th career goal for LC AND that LC was the only club he'd ever played for professionally. I'll close with thick thoughts on that.

The 50th goal was mentioned because we recognize 50 as special. If one were to say that every 50th goal would be comparable in this regard, his 100th, 150th etc, then I believe this 'hit' comes in at 1-in-50.

As for the latter consideration, I might try this, Ray: Andy King was in his tenth professional year when he scored this goal. How many top-flight players, who played ten or more years, played their entire first ten years of pro soccer with the same club, as Andy King did. Again I will set the bar ridiculously low, assuming that we can empirically determine that at least 1 in 10 players stayed with the same club for their first decade.

At [1/600 x 1/10 x 1/365 x 1/50 x 1/10] our cluster, which is highly conservative, is looking like a 1 in 1 billion kind of outcome.

Aside from this being surprisingly normal, Ray, I would only add this. One wrench I see is that there are other ways to make comparable clusters. For example, what if the subsequent "King" associations were replaced by similar ones based on "Richard"? Surely, since this an English story, it would have been noted, had this been Andy King's 66th goal. Now, King's 50th is seen to be one of at least two potentially meaningful, quite comparable amounts - and our 1-in-50 sketch number is seen to be something less...

One can quite easily envision somewhat comparable scenarios. I try to keep mindful of that. It's an important exercise in this kind of study, I believe. But then again, there's a difference between that approach and actually turning to random goals, to see what they might display in reality.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 03-Oct-18 01:43 by Poster Boy.

Options: ReplyQuote


Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 1821 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 228 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 187 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 171 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 176 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 168 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 166 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 162 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 162 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 153 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 151 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 155 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 152 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 146 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 161 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 154 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 152 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 152 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 146 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 151 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 149 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 149 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 146 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 155 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 148 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 146 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 141 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 144 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 156 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 148 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 145 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 145 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 146 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 148 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 144 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 143 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 144 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 142 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 150 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 146 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 146 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 144 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 142 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 146 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 228 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 151 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 153 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 156 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 146 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 149 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 155 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 150 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 149 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 150 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 151 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 164 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 185 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.