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Ray wrote, "I'd use the binomial expansion. The likelihood of 4 unusual synchronous signatures would be 1/16: interesting, but no cigar."

I would agree, but it sounds as if you`re likening each outcome to being equivalent to a 50-50 male or female birth result, as per your earlier example.

In the one sub example I detailed, the floor is set about 1/600, the minimum likelihood that our hero would have the last name, King... At that minimum rate, if the other three items are 1/2 then our overall result is 1/8 x 1/600 for an adjusted chance likelihood of at least 1/4800.

But surely the other elements are each well beyond 1/2, although coming up with a reasonable number may be impossible in at least one instance - how does one quantify the fact that LC was owned by the King Power corporation?

Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 2238 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 417 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 379 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 362 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 361 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 365 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 350 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 355 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 358 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 339 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 327 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 335 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 351 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 322 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 360 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 322 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 314 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 310 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 302 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 312 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 297 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 299 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 292 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 303 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 292 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 310 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 290 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 296 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 299 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 307 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 293 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 291 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 294 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 293 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 309 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 286 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 290 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 299 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 305 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 308 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 296 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 297 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 292 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 310 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 481 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 300 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 307 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 301 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 293 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 296 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 300 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 309 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 307 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 306 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 298 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 317 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 356 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24

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