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Mark,

The association between any two events can be measured statistically in terms of a correlation. For events over time, it's a regression. Any events can be correlated, but may or may not truly related. In scientific studies, one hopes to develop correlated events into events in which one causes the other by removing error, but that concept is somewhat slippery.

For example, we know that increases in global temperature are associated with increased CO2 in the atmosphere, but we can't show a clear causal relationship. The correlation between these events is far above zero (pure chance), but less than a true causal relationship (100% positive association). In other words, the correlation between the events is increasing, the regression over years is positive. If we compare the calculated correlation with chance, it reaches a point where we must reject chance as an explanation. The slope of a regression line is clearly rising. We say that CO2 is forcing increases in temperature--but not causing the increase.

IMO, that statistical language captures what you are saying about synchronicities: the likelihood of the association between the events is too strong to be reasonably explained by chance. The strength of the association is the square of the correlation coefficient. In practical terms, that means an association with 25% strength is interesting, and over 50% may be forcing.

I think that's a better way of saying it than an odds ratio.

Ray

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 2235 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 415 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 378 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 361 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 361 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 365 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 350 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 354 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 358 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 339 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 327 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 333 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 351 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 321 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 360 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 322 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 314 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 310 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 302 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 312 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 296 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 299 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 291 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 302 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 291 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 308 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 289 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 296 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 298 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 306 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 293 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 290 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 294 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 292 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 308 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 286 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 289 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 299 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 305 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 308 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 296 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 296 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 291 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 310 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 480 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 300 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 307 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 300 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 292 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 296 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 299 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 308 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 307 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 306 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 297 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 315 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 355 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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