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Mark,

The association between any two events can be measured statistically in terms of a correlation. For events over time, it's a regression. Any events can be correlated, but may or may not truly related. In scientific studies, one hopes to develop correlated events into events in which one causes the other by removing error, but that concept is somewhat slippery.

For example, we know that increases in global temperature are associated with increased CO2 in the atmosphere, but we can't show a clear causal relationship. The correlation between these events is far above zero (pure chance), but less than a true causal relationship (100% positive association). In other words, the correlation between the events is increasing, the regression over years is positive. If we compare the calculated correlation with chance, it reaches a point where we must reject chance as an explanation. The slope of a regression line is clearly rising. We say that CO2 is forcing increases in temperature--but not causing the increase.

IMO, that statistical language captures what you are saying about synchronicities: the likelihood of the association between the events is too strong to be reasonably explained by chance. The strength of the association is the square of the correlation coefficient. In practical terms, that means an association with 25% strength is interesting, and over 50% may be forcing.

I think that's a better way of saying it than an odds ratio.

Ray

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 2021 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 322 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 283 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 266 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 269 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 262 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 254 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 254 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 256 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 251 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 246 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 247 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 256 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 242 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 261 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 248 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 233 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 226 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 219 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 225 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 225 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 225 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 223 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 228 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 223 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 230 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 217 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 224 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 231 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 225 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 219 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 220 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 223 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 221 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 220 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 220 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 220 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 217 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 224 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 222 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 223 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 220 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 219 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 221 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 343 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 228 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 229 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 231 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 221 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 225 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 231 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 224 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 221 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 226 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 225 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 239 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 260 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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