Paranormal & Supernatural :  The Official GrahamHancock.com forums
For discussions of everything that might be classed as ‘paranormal‘ - i.e. not currently accepted by our modern scientific paradigm. 
Welcome! Log InRegister
Mark,

The association between any two events can be measured statistically in terms of a correlation. For events over time, it's a regression. Any events can be correlated, but may or may not truly related. In scientific studies, one hopes to develop correlated events into events in which one causes the other by removing error, but that concept is somewhat slippery.

For example, we know that increases in global temperature are associated with increased CO2 in the atmosphere, but we can't show a clear causal relationship. The correlation between these events is far above zero (pure chance), but less than a true causal relationship (100% positive association). In other words, the correlation between the events is increasing, the regression over years is positive. If we compare the calculated correlation with chance, it reaches a point where we must reject chance as an explanation. The slope of a regression line is clearly rising. We say that CO2 is forcing increases in temperature--but not causing the increase.

IMO, that statistical language captures what you are saying about synchronicities: the likelihood of the association between the events is too strong to be reasonably explained by chance. The strength of the association is the square of the correlation coefficient. In practical terms, that means an association with 25% strength is interesting, and over 50% may be forcing.

I think that's a better way of saying it than an odds ratio.

Ray

Options: ReplyQuote


Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 1829 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 232 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 190 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 174 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 179 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 171 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 169 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 165 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 165 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 156 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 154 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 158 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 155 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 150 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 164 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 157 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 155 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 155 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 149 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 154 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 152 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 152 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 149 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 158 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 152 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 150 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 145 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 147 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 159 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 152 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 148 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 149 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 149 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 152 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 147 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 147 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 148 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 146 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 153 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 149 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 149 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 147 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 146 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 149 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 235 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 154 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 157 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 160 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 149 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 152 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 158 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 153 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 152 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 153 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 154 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 167 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 188 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.