Paranormal & Supernatural :  The Official GrahamHancock.com forums
For discussions of everything that might be classed as ‘paranormal‘ - i.e. not currently accepted by our modern scientific paradigm. 
Welcome! Log InRegister
Mark,

The association between any two events can be measured statistically in terms of a correlation. For events over time, it's a regression. Any events can be correlated, but may or may not truly related. In scientific studies, one hopes to develop correlated events into events in which one causes the other by removing error, but that concept is somewhat slippery.

For example, we know that increases in global temperature are associated with increased CO2 in the atmosphere, but we can't show a clear causal relationship. The correlation between these events is far above zero (pure chance), but less than a true causal relationship (100% positive association). In other words, the correlation between the events is increasing, the regression over years is positive. If we compare the calculated correlation with chance, it reaches a point where we must reject chance as an explanation. The slope of a regression line is clearly rising. We say that CO2 is forcing increases in temperature--but not causing the increase.

IMO, that statistical language captures what you are saying about synchronicities: the likelihood of the association between the events is too strong to be reasonably explained by chance. The strength of the association is the square of the correlation coefficient. In practical terms, that means an association with 25% strength is interesting, and over 50% may be forcing.

I think that's a better way of saying it than an odds ratio.

Ray

Options: ReplyQuote


Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 2081 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 359 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 314 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 296 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 301 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 294 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 286 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 284 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 287 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 281 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 275 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 275 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 286 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 268 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 292 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 275 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 260 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 252 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 245 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 253 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 251 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 250 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 248 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 253 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 248 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 254 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 243 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 250 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 256 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 251 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 244 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 245 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 250 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 246 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 247 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 245 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 244 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 243 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 252 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 247 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 249 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 247 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 244 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 247 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 379 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 254 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 254 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 256 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 246 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 250 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 256 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 250 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 246 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 251 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 251 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 265 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 289 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.