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Mark,

The association between any two events can be measured statistically in terms of a correlation. For events over time, it's a regression. Any events can be correlated, but may or may not truly related. In scientific studies, one hopes to develop correlated events into events in which one causes the other by removing error, but that concept is somewhat slippery.

For example, we know that increases in global temperature are associated with increased CO2 in the atmosphere, but we can't show a clear causal relationship. The correlation between these events is far above zero (pure chance), but less than a true causal relationship (100% positive association). In other words, the correlation between the events is increasing, the regression over years is positive. If we compare the calculated correlation with chance, it reaches a point where we must reject chance as an explanation. The slope of a regression line is clearly rising. We say that CO2 is forcing increases in temperature--but not causing the increase.

IMO, that statistical language captures what you are saying about synchronicities: the likelihood of the association between the events is too strong to be reasonably explained by chance. The strength of the association is the square of the correlation coefficient. In practical terms, that means an association with 25% strength is interesting, and over 50% may be forcing.

I think that's a better way of saying it than an odds ratio.

Ray

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 1947 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 288 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 253 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 233 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 234 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 230 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 225 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 223 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 227 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 221 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 212 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 218 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 227 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 210 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 229 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 218 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 203 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 201 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 194 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 200 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 200 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 200 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 198 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 203 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 196 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 200 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 191 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 195 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 206 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 198 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 194 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 195 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 198 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 196 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 195 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 195 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 195 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 192 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 199 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 197 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 197 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 195 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 194 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 196 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 305 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 202 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 204 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 206 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 196 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 199 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 205 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 199 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 197 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 200 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 200 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 214 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 234 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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