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Here's the link, as promised.

To what I said to Daniel: I didn't here about this story until it was well underway. What caught my attention was the salience of the story - it was huge in Britain - and the clearly improbable 'King-related' twist that was at the story's forefront (a salient part of that narrative).

This may clarify the difference between producing a 'pattern' versus a 'comparable' pattern. Any honest appraisal of the associations mentioned will lead to the conclusion that the connections mentioned all link to things that are of clear consequence (otherwise I wouldn't mention them). They don't link to 'anything' in other words, which is the essence of the argument that one can find "patterns" anywhere. Good luck finding, with any 'empirical' consistency, similar unfoldings where such layered significance is tied to clearly significant-salient moments. Not saying that you can't do it, but that would be where the rubber meets the road.

Just to be clear, I am not insisting that this case study is most likely non-random, only that it appears to be at this point, owing to how salience and improbability connect with things that are salient themselves, and relevant for various reasons. As such, the overall results mimics how people interpret synchronicity at the personal level. But is what's perceived truly non-random?

(In closing, since the date 4/4 plays such a pivotal role in this example, I will add without further commentary that this particular manifestation is strangely common when it comes to major public events, "The Fours" have a way of showing up in salient places, more often than it seems they should in random settings.)



Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 27-Sep-18 19:45 by Poster Boy.

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 1980 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 304 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 268 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 251 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 250 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 244 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 239 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 236 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 239 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 234 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 230 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 229 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 239 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 223 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 243 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 231 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 217 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 212 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 204 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 211 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 212 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 211 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 208 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 213 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 207 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 211 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 202 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 207 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 217 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 210 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 205 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 205 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 209 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 207 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 205 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 205 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 205 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 203 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 210 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 208 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 207 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 206 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 205 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 206 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 321 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 212 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 215 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 216 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 206 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 210 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 215 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 210 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 207 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 212 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 210 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 224 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 245 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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