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Here's the link, as promised.

To what I said to Daniel: I didn't here about this story until it was well underway. What caught my attention was the salience of the story - it was huge in Britain - and the clearly improbable 'King-related' twist that was at the story's forefront (a salient part of that narrative).

This may clarify the difference between producing a 'pattern' versus a 'comparable' pattern. Any honest appraisal of the associations mentioned will lead to the conclusion that the connections mentioned all link to things that are of clear consequence (otherwise I wouldn't mention them). They don't link to 'anything' in other words, which is the essence of the argument that one can find "patterns" anywhere. Good luck finding, with any 'empirical' consistency, similar unfoldings where such layered significance is tied to clearly significant-salient moments. Not saying that you can't do it, but that would be where the rubber meets the road.

Just to be clear, I am not insisting that this case study is most likely non-random, only that it appears to be at this point, owing to how salience and improbability connect with things that are salient themselves, and relevant for various reasons. As such, the overall results mimics how people interpret synchronicity at the personal level. But is what's perceived truly non-random?

(In closing, since the date 4/4 plays such a pivotal role in this example, I will add without further commentary that this particular manifestation is strangely common when it comes to major public events, "The Fours" have a way of showing up in salient places, more often than it seems they should in random settings.)



Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 27-Sep-18 19:45 by Poster Boy.

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Subject Views Written By Posted
synchronicity explained? 2048 jazzmumbles 22-Sep-18 00:09
Re: synchronicity explained? 338 D-Archer 22-Sep-18 18:59
Re: synchronicity explained? 298 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 11:53
Re: synchronicity explained? 282 D-Archer 24-Sep-18 12:47
Re: synchronicity explained? 283 Itatw70s 24-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 277 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 04:57
Re: synchronicity explained? 269 D-Archer 26-Sep-18 08:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 269 Susan Doris 26-Sep-18 12:01
Re: synchronicity explained? 270 Eddie Larry 26-Sep-18 14:10
Re: synchronicity explained? 266 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:16
Re: synchronicity explained? 261 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 16:28
Re: synchronicity explained? 262 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 17:00
Re: synchronicity explained? 270 Eddie Larry 27-Sep-18 19:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 255 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 20:30
show us more "patterns" like this... 275 Poster Boy 27-Sep-18 16:58
Re: synchronicity explained? 262 Susan Doris 28-Sep-18 13:56
Re: synchronicity explained? 247 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 15:25
Re: synchronicity explained? 239 Eddie Larry 28-Sep-18 20:37
Re: synchronicity explained? 232 Poster Boy 28-Sep-18 21:07
Re: synchronicity explained? 238 Susan Doris 29-Sep-18 05:40
The statistics of synchronicities--in science 240 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 14:12
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 239 Poster Boy 29-Sep-18 15:56
Re: The statistics of synchronicities--in science 235 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 19:32
Questions on synchronicities and statistical science 240 Poster Boy 30-Sep-18 18:13
Some possibilities 236 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 09:53
Deconstructing one sync. 242 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 18:08
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 230 drrayeye 01-Oct-18 19:09
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 236 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 20:24
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 244 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 00:41
Re: Deconstructing one sync. 238 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 02:34
Research design 232 drrayeye 02-Oct-18 04:12
Re: Research design 233 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 04:18
Framing.. Research design 236 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 20:50
Re: Framing.. Research design 234 Poster Boy 02-Oct-18 23:21
Re: Framing.. Research design 232 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 04:56
a study of coincidences 232 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 13:24
Re: a study of coincidences 232 Susan Doris 03-Oct-18 15:25
Your scepticism antennae 229 drrayeye 03-Oct-18 19:33
Re: Framing.. Research design 238 Poster Boy 03-Oct-18 16:16
Re: Framing.. Research design 235 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 07:17
Re: Framing.. Research design 235 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 15:10
Re: Framing.. Research design 233 Susan Doris 04-Oct-18 17:07
Re: Framing.. Research design 232 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 17:37
true randomness 234 drrayeye 04-Oct-18 17:53
Re: true randomness 360 Poster Boy 04-Oct-18 19:26
a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 241 drrayeye 29-Sep-18 21:28
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 242 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 05:06
I didn't write this post for you, 243 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 06:05
Re: I didn't write this post for you, 234 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 13:47
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 237 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 08:50
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 243 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 10:27
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 238 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 14:07
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 234 Susan Doris 30-Sep-18 15:10
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 241 Eddie Larry 30-Sep-18 17:09
Re: a scientific alternative to dismissive debunking 237 Poster Boy 01-Oct-18 19:05
Scientific thinking 252 drrayeye 30-Sep-18 16:43
Re: synchronicity explained? 273 jazzmumbles 26-Sep-18 15:24


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