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Hi all!

This is a typical answer when discussing issues with an 'academic':

"I speculate that the pyramids of the Maya were built by Welsh purple-dotted unicorns wearing yellow jockstraps. I have no evidence whatsoever for this claim. But since you can't PROVE that it is wrong, you have to accept that it is right."

This is the answer I got to my thesis that unless you can prove a lost civilasation did not exist, you can't say it could never have existed. I did NOT say this means that the existence of a lost civilasation is proven this way.

This is simple a matter of two MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE HYPOTHESIS:
H 0: There was a lost civilasation
H A: There was NO lost civilasation.

If H O is proven untrue (significantly) then one can reject HO and except H A, and viceversa. One cannot prove H O or H A, so neither hypothesis can be rejected. Untill one is proven to be true or untrue.

Now lets look again at the answer of the esteemd mr. Fagan. Obviously he either - doens't understand basic statistics
- hasn't read the message
- thinks I'm stupid
because 1) No sign of two mutually exclusive hypothesis
H0:the pyramids of the Maya were built by Welsh purple-dotted unicorns wearing yellow jockstraps
HA1:the pyramids of the Maya were built by Scottisch blue dotted camels
HA2: the pyramids of the Maya were built by Belgian red striped dogs.
HA3: etc...

because 2)If his rather silly hypothesis can't be proven untrue, then this does not mean it is true. It simply means one cannot say it is untrue. It is however very, very, very, very unlikely considering specific INDICATIONS (not prove!) These indications suggest something else.

His answer is a) patronizing. He obviously believes we are a bunch of silly people

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Subject Views Written By Posted
a typical response of mr. Fagan 428 Christophe Leijnen 30-Nov-00 18:51
same message as above (sorry) 213 Christophe L. 30-Nov-00 19:03
RE: a typical response of mr. Fagan 231 Garrett Fagan 01-Dec-00 00:12
RE: a typical response of mr. Fagan 312 Geoff Stocks 01-Dec-00 02:38
RE: a typical response of mr. Fagan 188 Dr E 01-Dec-00 12:11
RE: a typical response of mr. Fagan 184 Geoff Stocks 01-Dec-00 20:43
RE: a typical response of mr. Fagan 235 Christophe L. 01-Dec-00 11:12
RE: a typical response of mr. Fagan 221 Garrett Fagan 01-Dec-00 20:38
RE: a typical response of mr. Fagan 216 R. Avry Wilson 01-Dec-00 13:25
RE: a typical response of mr. Fagan 196 Garrett Fagan 01-Dec-00 20:43
RE: a typical response of mr. Fagan 212 Geoff Stocks 01-Dec-00 20:47


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